Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.019120 0.020952 0.022797 0.024791 0.026880 0.029000 0.031312
2025-07-20 0.015377 0.018226 0.021216 0.024568 0.028203 0.032007 0.036272
2025-07-27 0.013110 0.016503 0.020175 0.024402 0.029091 0.034096 0.039808
2025-08-03 0.011964 0.015819 0.020096 0.025119 0.030788 0.036927 0.044019
2025-08-10 0.010470 0.014580 0.019256 0.024859 0.031288 0.038346 0.046594
2025-08-17 0.009180 0.013459 0.018449 0.024543 0.031642 0.039531 0.048844
2025-08-24 0.008133 0.012541 0.017805 0.024347 0.032073 0.040752 0.051089
2025-08-31 0.007186 0.011669 0.017152 0.024083 0.032378 0.041789 0.053092
2025-09-07 0.006426 0.010975 0.016667 0.023978 0.032832 0.042969 0.055231
2025-09-14 0.005580 0.010101 0.015905 0.023490 0.032793 0.043546 0.056650
2025-09-21 0.004817 0.009277 0.015157 0.022977 0.032689 0.044017 0.057923
2025-09-28 0.004054 0.008385 0.014271 0.022246 0.032284 0.044106 0.058724
2025-10-05 0.003687 0.008085 0.014205 0.022621 0.033320 0.046010 0.061787
2025-10-12 0.003142 0.007475 0.013703 0.022432 0.033673 0.047126 0.063966
2025-10-19 0.002675 0.006930 0.013249 0.022273 0.034036 0.048232 0.066114
2025-10-26 0.002499 0.006845 0.013435 0.022955 0.035455 0.050618 0.069787
2025-11-02 0.002096 0.006319 0.012950 0.022707 0.035673 0.051524 0.071680
2025-11-09 0.001730 0.005804 0.012445 0.022407 0.035801 0.052304 0.073408
2025-11-16 0.001434 0.005375 0.012040 0.022221 0.036059 0.053231 0.075305
2025-11-23 0.001165 0.004947 0.011606 0.021971 0.036216 0.054022 0.077026
2025-11-30 0.000957 0.004610 0.011290 0.021871 0.036559 0.055035 0.079012
2025-12-07 0.000722 0.004149 0.010740 0.021408 0.036399 0.055403 0.080196
2025-12-14 0.000524 0.003712 0.010192 0.020921 0.036188 0.055690 0.081271